Scottie Scheffler Eyes Second Major at 2024 PGA Championship

Scottie Scheffler Eyes Second Major at 2024 PGA Championship

As the golfing world turns its gaze to the upcoming 2024 PGA Championship, all eyes are on Scottie Scheffler, who is aiming to capture his second major title. Scheffler, whose recent form has been nothing short of phenomenal, winning four of his last five starts, including a memorable victory at the Masters, is the clear favorite heading into the championship. His runner-up finish at the Houston Open in March further cements his status as a formidable contender.

Assigned odds of 4-1, Scheffler stands ahead of golfing giants such as Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, and Brooks Koepka, who have been pegged with odds of 9-1, 10-1, and 16-1 respectively. This hierarchical positioning in the betting odds underscores the confidence the betting world has in Scheffler's capabilities on the course.

SportsLine Model's Predictive Success

Adding an analytical edge to the discussion is Mike McClure's SportsLine model, known for its precision in predicting outcomes of golf tournaments. With a track record of success that stretches back to June 2020, the model has solidly predicted several of Scheffler's triumphs, including his victories at the Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship.

Its predictive prowess isn't limited to Scheffler. For instance, it correctly forecasted Hideki Matsuyama's victory at the 2024 Genesis Invitational and Jon Rahm's commendable performances at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The accuracy of the model extends to calling wins for Nick Taylor, Jason Day, and Rickie Fowler in 2023, placing its success rate at predicting the winners of 11 major championships.

For the 2024 PGA Championship, the model has run 10,000 simulations, offering some unexpected insights. One notable prediction is that Brooks Koepka, despite securing three triumphs in 2023, is not expected to finish in the top 10. This is largely attributed to his underwhelming performance throughout 2024.

Underdogs and Surprises

Amid predictions and analyses, Collin Morikawa emerges as a compelling underdog story. With odds fixed at 25-1, Morikawa’s performances offer a glimmer of promise, particularly noted in his strong finishes at the Masters and the RBC Heritage. His fifth-ranked driving accuracy paired with a 14th-ranked birdie average presents a robust argument for his potential to cause an upset.

Moreover, the model points to three other golfers, each with odds of 25-1 or longer, as potential sources of surprise, further adding layers of excitement and unpredictability to the championship.


The 2024 PGA Championship is shaping up to be an enthralling contest of skill, strategy, and mental fortitude. With Scottie Scheffler at the forefront of the narrative, the anticipation around his performance is palpable. However, the dynamic nature of golf means that unexpected twists and underdog stories can emerge, as highlighted by the predictive model's insights into players like Collin Morikawa and Brooks Koepka.

As the championship draws near, the convergence of statistical models, player form, and competitive spirit promises a spectacle that will keep fans and analysts on the edge of their seats. Whether it be a tale of continued domination by Scheffler or an unexpected victory from the underdog ranks, the 2024 PGA Championship is set to be a memorable chapter in the annals of golf history.